Former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris in three key battleground states, according to a New York Times poll released Monday.
Trump leads Harris by five points in Arizona, 50% to 45%, and in Georgia, 49% to 45%, but Harris is closing in on the former president in North Carolina, 49% to 47%.
The Times conducted the poll from Sept. 17-21, surveying 2,077 voters across the three states.
Arizona and Georgia would be big wins for Trump in the general election because they are states won by President Biden in 2020. Arizona in particular represents a major surge in support for Trump, with Harris leading by five points in an August Times poll.
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Former President Donald Trump is leading in the polls in three key battleground states, two of which were held by President Biden in 2020. (Jeff Blake – USA Today Sports)
The Times survey came days after a Fox News national poll showed Harris leading Trump by two points, 50% to 48%, in the White House.
A new national poll from Fox News found a 3 percentage point change among registered 2024 presidential voters since mid-August. Trump had a 1-point lead in August.
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A lot has happened since the August poll that could affect voters’ opinions: The Democratic National Convention took place, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race to endorse Trump, former Vice President Dick Cheney and former Rep. Liz Cheney endorsed Harris, and the candidates faced off in debates. A second assassination attempt on Trump happened about three-quarters of the way through the new poll.
A Fox News national poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading President Trump by two points. (Jemal Countess)
Many Republican pollsters are confident that national polling shows Trump has a chance of winning. Hillary Clinton beat Trump by 2 percentage points in the national vote in 2016 but lost the electoral vote.
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Trump and Harris continue to compete fiercely across the country.
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“Our best guess is that if Trump is within 2 points of Harris nationally, he’s likely to win the Electoral College vote,” said Daron Shaw, a Republican pollster who runs the Fox News poll with Democrat Chris Anderson. “These data showing Trump’s leads in key counties and battleground states suggest that’s probably the case.”
Fox News’ Dana Blanton contributed to this report.
Anders Hagstrom is a reporter for Fox News Digital covering national politics and major breaking news. Send your tips to Anders.Hagstrom@Fox.com or on Twitter: @Hagstrom_Anders.
