Georgia Tech was off in Week 5, but all of its future opponents for the rest of the season were in attendance. Georgia Tech’s next team on the schedule, Duke University, remained undefeated by defeating North Carolina State, the team the Yellow Jackets will play next. Notre Dame beat Louisville, Virginia Tech suffered a heartbreaking loss to Miami, North Carolina State narrowly beat Northern Illinois, and Georgia lost to Alabama in an instant classic.
After all these results. What is Georgia Tech’s outlook for this season on ESPN’s FPI? After Week 4, FPI projected Georgia Tech to finish 6-6. Before the season, FPI had Georgia Tech finishing with a 4-8 record.
ESPN uses FPI (Football Power Index) as an advanced analytical model to examine matchups and predict outcomes. In ESPN’s own words, “FPI is a predictive rating system designed to measure team strength and performance for upcoming projects. The ultimate goal of FPI is to rank teams from 1 to 128. Rather, it’s about accurately predicting the outcome of games and seasons. Las Vegas has published power rankings that it uses to set lines, but they’re probably very similar to FPI. ”
Here are FPI predictions for the rest of the season:
Game 6 vs. Duke: ESPN’s FPI gives Georgia Tech a 67.1% chance to win (4-2, 2-2)
Duke enters this game undefeated and riding high after defeating arch-rival North Carolina, but FPI still wants Duke to beat the Blue Devils and Georgia Tech opens as a touchdown candidate. War has come.
Game 7 at North Carolina: ESPN’s FPI gives Georgia Tech a 54.7% chance of winning (5-2, 3-2)
Interestingly, the FPI odds for Georgia Tech to win this game have decreased, even though the Tar Heels opened up a 20-point lead over Duke.
Game 8 vs. Notre Dame: ESPN’s FPI gives Notre Dame an 83.6% chance of winning (5-3, 3-2)
A week after the Cardinals defeated Georgia Tech, Notre Dame defeated Louisville, increasing their odds to win this game slightly. It will be a difficult game for Georgia Tech, which lost to Notre Dame as a 28-point favorite earlier this year.
Game 9 at Virginia Tech: ESPN’s FPI gives Virginia Tech a 60.9% chance of winning this game (5-4, 3-3)
This game was almost a 50-50 decision last week, but the odds have gone up after the Hokies’ performance against Miami, which is a little strange considering Virginia Tech is currently 2-3. . Will the Hokies let the Finals game against Miami dictate what’s to come, or will they take the positives from the game and use it as a springboard moving forward?
Game 10 vs. Miami: ESPN’s FPI gives Miami a 75% chance of winning the game (5-5, 3-4)
Miami looked shaky for the first time all season, which lowered their odds of winning this game by 3 percentage points. However, Miami still looks very formidable and the passing attack could certainly cause Georgia Tech some problems.
Game 11 vs. NC State: ESPN gives Georgia Tech a 75% chance of winning this game (6-5, 4-4)
NC State won yesterday, but they did it in the ugliest way imaginable. Their offense failed to gain more than 200 yards against Northern Illinois and remains one of the most disappointing teams in the ACC.
Game 12 vs. Georgia: ESPN’s FPI gives Georgia a 92.6% chance of winning (6-6, 4-4)
Georgia may have lost to Alabama, but its odds of winning this game increased by nearly 3 percentage points.