The Kansas City Chiefs will be looking to continue their early season success when they take on the Atlanta Falcons in a key interconference matchup on Sunday Night Football. Kansas City has opened the season with wins over Baltimore (27-20) and Cincinnati (26-25). Meanwhile, Atlanta bounced back from an 18-10 opening loss to Pittsburgh to beat Philadelphia 22-21. The Chiefs, who have a chance to win their ninth straight AFC West title, are looking to make their fifth Super Bowl appearance in the past six years. The Falcons, who last made the postseason in 2017, will be looking to beat Kansas City for the first time since their 40-24 win in 2012.
Kickoff at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta is scheduled for 8:20 pm ET. The latest Falcons vs. Chiefs odds from SportsLine consensus have Kansas City favored by 3 points, but the over/under for total points is 46.5. Before making any Chiefs vs. Falcons picks or predictions, you should hear from Larry Hartstein, a proven SportsLine NFL expert who is well versed in Falcons picks.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines his vast network of Las Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working at Pro Football Focus. Hartstein finished tied for 52nd (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest with a 53-34-3 ATS record. Larry’s weekly Las Vegas contest picks are the basis of his NFL Best Bets column and are 79-48-2 (62.2%, +25.95 units) since the start of 2022. Entering the 2024 season, Hartstein’s career record on NFL sides and props with SportsLine is 739-599 (plus $4,860 for $100 players, all bets 1 unit) and 547-452 ATS (long-term record 55%).
Additionally, Hartstein has an astounding record of 49 wins, 23 losses and 2 ties in his last 74 NFL predictions involving the Falcons, returning $2,155. Anyone who follows him is making a killing.
Now, Hartstein has broken down the Chiefs vs. Falcons game from every angle and finalized his predictions and projections: To see his predictions, visit SportsLine now: Here are some NFL betting odds on the spread, over/under and money line for the Falcons vs. Chiefs matchup.
Falcons vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -3Falcons vs. Chiefs over/under: 46.5 pointsFalcons vs. Chiefs moneyline: Kansas City -169, Atlanta +142KC: The Chiefs have gone under the game total in the fourth quarter in 17 of their last 19 games (+14.75 units)ATL: The Falcons have gone under the game total in the third quarter in five of their last seven home games (+2.25 units)Falcons vs. Chiefs picks: See SportsLine’s picks
Why the Chiefs can cover
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes can set some records against Atlanta. With 76 wins in 98 career starts, he’s tied with Tom Brady and Hall of Famer Roger Staubach for the most wins in his first 100 starts by a quarterback. He also has 222 career touchdown passes, tying him with Aaron Rodgers for the most in his first 100 starts. Mahomes has been solid this year, completing 38 of 53 passes (71.7%) for 442 yards and three touchdowns.
Tight end Travis Kelce, who has been relatively quiet so far this season, had four receptions for 39 yards, including one explosive 23-yard play. In the season opener against Baltimore, he caught three passes for 34 yards. Kelce has been a weapon throughout his career, hauling in 911 receptions for 11,367 yards (a 12.5-yard average) and 74 touchdowns in 160 regular-season games. Find out which team to root for here.
Why the Falcons can cover
Kirk Cousins, a 13-year veteran, had a great Monday Night Football performance. In the win over the Eagles, he rushed Atlanta for 70 yards in under two minutes to lead the Falcons to an incredible victory. He completed 20 of 29 passes (69%) for 241 yards and two touchdowns in that game. This year, he has completed 36 of 55 passes (65.5%) for 396 yards and three touchdowns. He was intercepted twice and has an 89.7 rating.
Wide receiver Darnell Mooney continues to have an explosive season. He has four receptions for 103 yards (25.8 average) and one touchdown. He has three receptions of 20+ yards, including 41 yards. He has 37 yards after the catch and four first downs. The former Chicago Bears forward is in his fifth season in the NFL, appearing in 62 games and hauling in 217 receptions for 2,696 yards (12.4 average) and 12 touchdowns. Find out which team to pick here.
How to predict Falcons vs Chiefs
Hatstein broke down Chiefs vs. Falcons from every angle, and while it’s clear he’s leaning toward the underscoring point total, he also found a key X-factor that would have him jumping to one side of the spread, and he’s sharing exclusively with SportsLine what it is and which side you should back.
Who will win the Chiefs vs. Falcons matchup on Sunday Night Football, and what are the deciding factors that will definitely back one side of the spread? Head to SportsLine now to find out which side of the Chiefs vs. Falcons spread you should back, with breakdowns from our experts, who are an astounding 49-23 in their predictions that include Atlanta.